The Put Option selling
Building the case
Previously we understood that,
an option seller
and the buyer
are like two sides of the same coin.
They have a diametrically opposite view on markets. Going by this,
if the Put
option buyer is bearish about the market, then
clearly the put
option seller must
have a bullish
view on the
markets.
Recollect we looked at the Bank Nifty’s
chart in the previous chapter;
we will review
the same chart again,
but from the
perspective of a put option
seller.
The typical thought
process for the Put Option Seller would be something like this –
1. Bank Nifty is trading at 18417
2.
2 days
ago Bank Nifty
tested its resistance level at 18550
(resistance level is highlighted by a
green horizontal line)
3.
18550 is considered as resistance as there is a price
action zone at this level
which is well spaced in time (for
people who are
not familiar with
the concept of resistance.
4.
I have
highlighted the price
action zone in a blue
rectangular boxes
5.
Bank Nifty
has attempted to crack the
resistance level for
the last 3 consecutive times
6.
All it needs is 1 good
push (maybe a large sized
bank announcing decent
results – HDFC, ICICI, and SBI are expected to declare results
soon)
7.
A positive
cue plus a move above
the resistance will set Bank Nifty on the upward
trajectory
8.
Hence writing
the Put Option
and collecting the
premiums may sound
like a good
idea
You may have a question
at this stage – If the outlook is bullish, why write (sell)
a put option and why not
just buy a call option?
Well, the decision to either buy a call option or sell a put option
really depends on how attractive the premiums are. At the
time of taking
the decision, if the call
option has a low premium
then buying a call option makes sense, likewise if the put option is
trading at a very high premium then selling the
put option (and
therefore collecting the
premium) makes sense.
Of course to figure
out what exactly
to do (buying a call
option or selling
a put option) depends on the attractiveness of the premium, and to
judge how attractive the premium is you need some background knowledge on ‘option pricing’. Of course, going
forward in this module we will understand option pricing.
So,
with these thoughts assume the trader
decides to write
(sell) the 18400
Put option and
collect Rs.315 as the premium. As
usual let us observe the P&L behavior for a Put Option seller and make a few generalizations.
Do
Note – when you write
options (regardless of Calls or Puts) margins
are blocked in your ac- count.
– P&L behavior for the put option seller
Please do remember the
calculation of the
intrinsic value of the option
remains the same
for both writing a put option
as well as buying a put option.
However the P&L
calculation changes, which we will discuss shortly. We will
assume various possible scenarios on the expiry date and figure out how
the P&L behaves.
I would assume by now you will be in a position to easily generalize the P&L behavior upon expiry, especially considering the fact that we have done the same for the last 3 chapters. The generalizations are as below (make sure you set your eyes on row 8 as it’s the strike price for this trade)
1.
The objective behind selling a put option
is to collect the premiums and benefit from
the bullish outlook on market. Therefore as we can
see, the profit
stays flat at Rs.315 (premium collected) as long as the spot price stays
above the strike
price.
a.
Generalization 1 – Sellers of the Put Options are profitable
as long as long as the spot price remains
at or higher than the
strike price. In other words
sell a put
option only when you
are bullish about
the underlying or when you
believe that the
underlying will no longer continue to fall.
2.
As the
spot price goes
below the strike
price (18400) the
position starts to make a loss.
Clearly there is no cap
on how much
loss the seller
can experience here
and it can
be theoretically be unlimited
a.
Generalization 2 – A put
option seller can
potentially experience an unlimited loss as
and when the
spot price goes
lower than the
strike price.
Here
is a general formula using
which you can calculate the P&L from writing a Put Option
posi- tion. Do bear in mind this formula
is applicable on positions held till expiry.
P&L = Premium Received – [Max (0, Strike Price – Spot Price)]
Let us pick 2 random values and evaluate if the
formula works –
1. 16510
2. 19660
@16510 (spot below strike,
position has to be loss making)
= 315 – Max (0, 18400 -16510)
= 315 – 1890
= – 1575
@19660 (spot above strike,
position has to be profitable, restricted to premium paid)
= 315 – Max (0, 18400 – 19660)
= 315 – Max (0, -1260)
Clearly both the results match the expected
outcome.
Further, the breakdown point for a Put Option seller
can be defined as a point where
the Put Op- tion
seller starts making
a loss after
giving away all
the premium he has collected –
Breakdown point = Strike Price – Premium Received
For the Bank Nifty, the breakdown point would be
= 18400 – 315
= 18085
So as per this definition of the
breakdown point, at 18085 the put option seller should neither make any
money nor lose
any money. Do note this
also means at this stage,
he would lose
the en-
tire
Premium he has
collected. To validate this,
let us apply
the P&L formula
and calculate the P&L at the breakdown point –
= 315 – Max (0, 18400 – 18085)
= 315 – Max (0, 315)
= 315 – 315
=0
The result obtained in
clearly in line with the expectation of the breakdown point.
– Put option seller’s Payoff
If we connect the P&L points
(as seen in the table
earlier) and develop
a line chart, we should
be able to observe
the generalizations we have made on the Put option
seller’s P&L.
Please find be- low
the same –
Here
are a few things that you should
appreciate from the chart above,
remember 18400 is the
strike price –
1.
The Put option seller
experiences a loss only when the spot price goes below the strike
price (18400 and lower)
2.
The loss
is theoretically unlimited (therefore the risk)
3.
The Put Option seller
will experience a profit (to the extent
of premium received) as and when the
spot price trades
above the strike
price
4.
The gains
are restricted to the extent
of premium received
5.
At the breakdown point (18085) the put option
seller neither makes
money nor losses money. However at this stage he gives
up the entire premium he has received.
6.
You can observe
that at the
breakdown point, the
P&L graph just
starts to buckle
down – from a positive territory to the neutral
(no profit no loss) situation. It is only
below this point the put option seller
starts to lose money.
And
with these points,
hopefully you should
have got the
essence of Put
Option selling. Over
the last few chapters we have looked
at both the
call option and
the put option
from both the
buyer and sellers perspective.
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